Volatility in Dry Bulk Shipping

 

In the second week of September 2016, Baltic Dry Index (BDI) punched through the 1,000-point mark and hitting highs not seen for nearly 2 years. Capesize rates at least have shown signs of life after a terrible year. Panamax rates have been on a steady upward trend helped by the recent rebound in Asian coal markets and seasonal demand from US Gulf and Black Sea grain trades. Ship values at lows not seen since the 80s. 5 year old capesize ships are now worth only around $24 million, panamax and supramax ships only $14 million to $15 million. Dry Bulk Shipping market’s recent rebound can be attributed to the usual seasonal bounce and shipping analysts believe the market is in for around another two years of poor freight rates as new deliveries and weak trade growth slows any rebound. In 2016, 44% of expected new dry bulk deliveries have been delayed which helped the market. Strong and bold shipowners who would be able sustain at least another 18 months flat rates, then today looks like a good time to invest.