March 2024

Back to Baltic Dry Index

5-March-2024

The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) dropped on Tuesday, ending a 13-session streak of gains, as rates declined across various vessel segments. The BDI, which reflects rates for capesize, panamax, and supramax bulk carriers, decreased by 14 points to 1,262 points. The Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) fell by 11 points to 1,969 points. The average daily earnings for capesize bulk carriers, which typically handle 150,000-ton cargoes like iron ore and coal, fell by $96 to $16,328. This decline coincided with a drop in Dalian iron ore futures, which fell for a seventh consecutive session amidst heightened trade tensions triggered by new U.S. tariffs on China. U.S. President Donald Trump’s latest 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, along with a doubling of duties on Chinese goods to 20%, took effect at 0501 GMT. In retaliation, China announced it would implement additional tariffs of 10-15% on certain U.S. imports starting March 10. The Baltic Panamax Index (BPI) also experienced a downturn, dropping 21 points to 1,024 points for the sixth consecutive session, marking its lowest point since February 17. Average daily earnings for panamax bulk carriers, which often transport 60,000-70,000 tons of coal or grain, decreased by $186 to $9,218. Similarly, the Baltic Supramax Index (BSI) fell by 11 points to 876 points, reaching a near two-week low.

 

4-March-2024

Capesize Bulk Carrier Market - Baltic Capesize Index (BCI)

The Capesize market experienced a significant upward trend throughout the week, with the Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) 5TC rising from $8,620 on Monday to $15,074 by Friday, reflecting a positive shift in sentiment across both basins. The Pacific market showed particular strength, supported by a tightening tonnage list, consistent demand from miners and operators, and a rise in coal cargoes, which helped push rates higher. The Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) C5 index increased from $6.65 on Monday to $9.885 by Friday. In the Atlantic, routes from South Brazil and West Africa to China received continuous support, bolstered by fresh cargo and a shorter ballast list. The Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) C3 index climbed from $18.31 to $19.875 by the end of the week, with early April dates reaching as high as $20.25-$20.30. Despite a limited amount of fresh cargo, sentiment in the North Atlantic remained upbeat, with the Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) C8 and Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) C9 indices showing steady increases. Overall, it was a strong week for the market.

Panamax Bulk Carrier Market - Baltic Panamax Index (BPI)

Rates in the Atlantic faced considerable pressure this week, with notable losses on trans-Atlantic routes. The absence of mineral demand and high tonnage availability contributed to the challenging situation. Initially, Asia appeared to resist the negative sentiment from other areas, as the week began with a healthy volume of fresh inquiries and fixtures. The North Pacific experienced steady demand, particularly for minerals from Australia and Indonesia, though it was less dominant. However, as the week progressed, much of the market came under pressure, and by the end of the week, rates started to soften in most regions. EC South America saw moderate fixing activity throughout the week, but by Thursday, index-type tonnage could only secure low $14,000s plus low $400,000s levels for delivery at the port with a ballast bonus. NoPac rounds in the Pacific hovered around the $12,000-13,000 mark for 82,000-dwt vessels, while the median rate for shorter Indonesian round trips was closer to the $10,000 mark.

Ultramax/Supramax Bulk Carrier Market - Baltic Supramax Index (BSI)

As the week progressed, it became clear that the recent upturn in the sector had stalled. The Atlantic market was described as stable, with the US Gulf remaining fairly busy, although rates stayed relatively flat. The South Atlantic lacked fresh momentum, leading to a slight easing of rates. A 61,000-dwt vessel was reported fixed for a trip from Recalada to the Arabian Gulf at mid $12,000s plus a mid $200,000s ballast bonus. The Mediterranean-Continent route also saw a lack of demand, with a 55,000-dwt vessel fixed from the Continent to the Mediterranean at $12,500 at the beginning of the week. From Asia, there was initially positive sentiment, but this soon dissipated. However, it was heard that a 56,000-dwt vessel open in Japan was fixed for a backhaul via the C.O.G.H. to the Continent-Mediterranean at $14,000. From the South, a 64,000-dwt Ultramax bulk carrier open in Indonesia was fixed for a trip to China at $17,000. The Indian Ocean market remained patchy, with Ultramax sizes earning around $12,000 plus a $120,000 ballast bonus (BB) for South Africa to China runs, while further north, Supramax sizes saw rates between the mid $5,000s and mid $6,000s for trips from India to China.

Handysize Bulk Carrier Market - Baltic Handysize Index (BHSI)

This week, the market showed mixed performance, with modest movements in both basins. The Continent and Mediterranean regions maintained positive momentum, with rates edging slightly above previous levels, providing some market support. For instance, a 25,000-dwt vessel was fixed for a trip from Egypt to the US Gulf with fertilizer at low $6,000s. In the South Atlantic, market fundamentals remained strong, indicating continued support, particularly for larger sizes. A 39,000-dwt vessel was fixed for delivery at Recalada and redelivery to Liverpool at $16,500. In contrast, although rates in the U.S. Gulf showed slight improvement, overall activity remained relatively minimal compared to other routes. A 38,000-dwt vessel was placed on subjects for SW Pass with redelivery to the West Coast of Central America at $12,000. Meanwhile, in Asia, the market remained strong, supported by a healthy balance between demand and supply, particularly for NoPac and Southeast Asia, with several strong fixtures reported. A 38,000-dwt vessel was fixed for delivery in Japan and redelivery to Brazil at $10,500.